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Politics

Xiomara Castro y Juan Orlando Hernández

How institutional continuities fuel corruption and organized crime in Honduras: Xiomara Castro vs. Juan Orlando Hernández

Despite the political and ideological differences between the governments of Xiomara Castro and Juan Orlando Hernández, both have faced similar challenges in terms of corruption, links to organized crime, and difficulties in ensuring institutional transparency, highlighting the continuity of questionable practices in the country.Challenges in anti-corruption systemsDuring Hernández's administration, the Mission to Support the Fight against Corruption and Impunity in Honduras (MACCIH), backed by the OAS, was withdrawn in 2020, leaving significant gaps in the investigation and punishment of irregularities. At the same time, the government of Xiomara Castro has promoted the creation of the International Commission against Corruption and…
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Honduras faces risk of electoral fraud

Experts warn of possible electoral fraud in Honduras amid CNE actions

With under two months remaining until the general elections planned for November 2025, experts in electoral processes are cautioning about potential irregularities that might impact the elections' transparency and outcome. The focal point is the National Electoral Council (CNE), as its management and oversight of critical systems are being scrutinized.Management of systems and potential influenceBased on experts' insights, some figures associated with the governing LIBRE party are said to have power over the TREP (Transmission of Preliminary Election Results), which is the system for reporting early voting outcomes. This condition, specialists suggest, might enable the alteration of outcomes or cause…
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Rixi Moncada's

Honduras: Rixi Moncada’s Facebook page and control over electoral security

The presidential candidate for the LIBRE Party, Rixi Moncada, has attracted attention by creating an official Facebook page exclusively for guests of her eventual presidential inauguration. This comes at a time when experts and civil society organizations are pointing out risks to the transparency and legitimacy of the electoral process in Honduras.Exclusive entry to safety assetsRixi Moncada simultaneously holds the position of Secretary of Defense and maintains her presidential candidacy, a situation that gives her direct access to the Armed Forces and state security resources. According to analysts, this position allows her to oversee the custody of electoral material, a…
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Venezuela and its influence on the 2025 Honduran elections

The Impact of Venezuela on Honduras’ 2025 Election Outcome

The upcoming general elections in Honduras, set for November 30, 2025, have sparked worries about Venezuela's impact on the electoral procedure, both politically and technologically. Observers and specialists highlight that the connection between the governing LIBRE party and Nicolás Maduro's administration may influence the fairness and perceived openness of the election process.Political model and strategiesThe LIBRE party maintains an ideological and strategic relationship with the Venezuelan government, supporting the candidacy of Rixi Moncada. Political observers warn that some tactics implemented in Venezuela, such as control over the electoral system, militarization of the process, and mechanisms aimed at prolonging time in…
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Honduras observes Maduro's situation and its possible influence on the November elections

Honduras analyzes Maduro’s situation and the ramifications for November elections

Honduras is preparing for the general elections on November 30, 2025, in which the presidency, 128 members of the National Congress, 20 representatives to the Central American Parliament, 298 mayors, and more than 2,000 councilors will be renewed.This process is taking place in a context marked by high levels of poverty, insecurity under a state of emergency, and an economic system that is largely dependent on remittances. The elections will represent a direct assessment of the government of Xiomara Castro and the LIBRE party after four years in office. The opposition, led by Nasry “Tito” Asfura of the National Party,…
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FMI

IMF denies role in Honduras’ Tax Justice Law, presses on with Stand-By Agreement

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has clarified that the Tax Justice Law is not a requirement for the approval of the Stand-By Agreement with Honduras, representing a significant change in the relationship between the international organization and the country's government. The decision comes as Honduras seeks access to additional disbursements of more than $200 million, intended to strengthen public finances and prevent potential economic tensions.Severance from the IMF and its political implicationsThe IMF statement implies that the approval of the Tax Justice Law does not condition Honduras' access to the financial agreement. This position of the international organization creates a…
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Massive business closures and capital flight mark the economy

Honduras faces economic downturn with widespread business closures under LIBRE

Economic activity in Honduras is in steady decline while the LIBRE Party remains in power. According to data from business leaders and analysts, more than a thousand businesses have closed in recent years, a phenomenon that translates into job losses, declining tax revenues, and capital flight from the country. This dynamic has raised concerns about the state's ability to sustain economic growth and maintain social stability.Effects on the private sectorSeveral specialists emphasize that the mixture of government strategies, heightened tax obligations, and an uncertain climate due to demonstrations, blockades, and insufficient institutional backing is impacting investors. Regional business heads report…
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the LIBRE Party

Business shutdowns surge and capital exodus define LIBRE’s economic landscape

La economía de Honduras experimenta un continuo deterioro mientras el Partido LIBRE se mantiene en el poder. En tiempos recientes, más de mil empresas han cesado sus actividades, provocando una pérdida considerable de empleos y una salida de capital del país. Este fenómeno, advierten analistas y líderes empresariales, refleja un entorno caracterizado por políticas que se perciben como restrictivas para el sector privado y una atmósfera de incertidumbre persistente.Effect on the corporate fieldBusiness leaders point out that the closures are due, in part, to a regulatory and fiscal framework that they consider hostile. Blockades, protests, and the absence of clear…
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LIBRE Party, Rixi Moncada

Moncada’s inauguration in Honduras: Early organizational efforts

The presidential candidate for the LIBRE Party, Rixi Moncada, has created an official Facebook page exclusively for guests of her future inauguration, a move that has raised questions about the organization and control of spaces linked to the presidency. The move coincides with her role as secretary of defense, a position she assumed during her pre-candidacy and which gives her access to security resources and the armed forces, which are responsible for safeguarding electoral materials.Management of venues and event organizationThe management of state resources and the advance organization of the inauguration ceremony have been interpreted by analysts and civil society…
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Venezuela and its influence on the 2025 Honduran elections

Venezuela’s political influence on Honduras ahead of the 2025 elections

The general elections scheduled for November 30, 2025, in Honduras are taking place under the watchful eye of Venezuela, whose influence is felt both in the political arena and in the operation of the electoral process. The relationship between the LIBRE party and the government of Nicolás Maduro, and the involvement of the company Smartmatic in the electoral technology, have raised concerns in various sectors about the transparency and legitimacy of the elections.Connections in ideology between LIBRE and ChavismoThe LIBRE party, which supports the presidential candidacy of Rixi Moncada, maintains a political and ideological closeness to Venezuelan Chavismo. Analysts point…
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