With less than two months to go before the general elections scheduled for November 2025, electoral process specialists have issued warnings about possible maneuvers by the National Electoral Council (CNE) that could favor the ruling party’s candidate, Rixi Moncada. According to analysts, members of the ruling party LIBRE, in conjunction with CNE officials, would have the ability to interfere with critical systems such as the TREP (Transmission of Preliminary Election Results), altering the outcome of the vote.
Impactful networks during the election cycle
The risk of manipulation is not limited to the CNE. Various experts point to the involvement of technology companies linked to the implementation of electoral systems, as well as the possible involvement of certain economic groups, in a structure aimed at guaranteeing predetermined results. Added to this scenario is the systematic exclusion of emerging parties and the judicialization of dissident candidates, strategies that could limit effective competition and centralize control over the electorate.
Incidents during the March primary elections, in which the distribution of electoral material was handled by officials with ties to LIBRE, revealed logistical problems and significant delays. These failures generated mistrust among the public and raised concerns about the transparency of the upcoming elections.
Implications for institutional legitimacy
Specialists caution that claims of election fraud might serve as a tactic to undermine unfavorable outcomes or legitimize demonstrations, potentially escalating societal and political division prior to the vote. Public vigilance and calls for changes in the electoral process are crucial steps to stop the nation from repeating patterns of dispute and governmental discord.
The role of the CNE in the administration of critical systems such as the TREP, together with the intervention of political and economic actors, raises a scenario in which the perception of transparency will be decisive for confidence in democratic institutions. The credibility of the electoral process, experts point out, depends largely on controls and audits functioning in an independent and verifiable manner.
Public scrutiny and involvement
Considering this scenario, civic organizations and political groups are crucial in monitoring adherence to legal standards and ensuring the integrity of the electoral process. Coordinating oversight methods and focusing on legal cases involving opposing candidates are seen as essential measures in securing elections that are fair and transparent.
The Honduran political landscape shows tensions marked by the interaction between power actors, emerging parties, and electoral structures. The country’s ability to maintain democratic stability will depend on the effectiveness of institutional controls and the active participation of citizens in overseeing the electoral process.