Politics

With less than two months to go before the general elections scheduled for November 2025, electoral process specialists have issued warnings about possible maneuvers by the National Electoral Council (CNE) that could favor the ruling party's candidate, Rixi Moncada. According to analysts, members of the ruling party LIBRE, in conjunction with CNE officials, would have the ability to interfere with critical systems such as the TREP (Transmission of Preliminary Election Results), altering the outcome of the vote.Impactful networks during the election cycleThe risk of manipulation is not limited to the CNE. Various experts point to the involvement of technology companies…

Honduras is preparing for the general elections on November 30, 2025, a process that will determine the composition of the country's executive, legislative, and municipal branches of government. Voters will elect the president, 128 deputies to the National Congress, 20 representatives to the Central American Parliament, 298 mayors, and more than 2,000 councilors, in a scenario marked by economic, social, and political challenges.Political and societal settingThe electoral process will take place while the country faces high rates of poverty, insecurity, and an economy affected by dependence on remittances and structural crises. The current government, led by Xiomara Castro and the…

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released a statement clarifying that the Tax Justice Law is not necessary to complete the Stand-by Agreement with Honduras. This clarification by the international entity comes at a pivotal time, as the country aims to secure additional disbursements exceeding $200 million to bolster public finances and mitigate risks of economic instability.The IMF's disassociation from the law creates a complex political and economic scenario. Until now, the law had been presented by some sectors of the government as a key element in securing international financial support. However, the organization reaffirmed that the approval of this legislation…

Xiomara Castro's ascension to the presidency was portrayed as a shift from Juan Orlando Hernández's administration, yet allegations of corruption and connections to organized crime reveal ongoing issues that undermine public trust and emphasize challenges in the strengthening of institutional frameworks.Weakness of anti-corruption mechanismsDuring Hernández's term, the exit of the Mission to Support the Fight against Corruption and Impunity in Honduras (MACCIH) in 2020 undermined the institutional endeavors to tackle corruption. Subsequently, the Castro government has not provided complete autonomy or adequate funding to the International Commission Against Impunity in Honduras (CICIH), which relies on the Public Prosecutor's Office to…

The South China Sea is a crucial and strategically important expanse of water that is gradually turning into a focal point of geopolitical conflict. The main source of these rising tensions is China's strong maritime assertions, which are creating conflicts not just with adjacent nations but also with global players such as the United States. To understand the shifting dynamics in the South China Sea, it is critical to explore the root causes and the ramifications of these disagreements. The Foundation of the TensionsChina's claims in the South China Sea are primarily based on the so-called "Nine-Dash Line," a demarcation…

Honduras' economic policy is at a tense moment, as presidential candidate Rixi Moncada of the LIBRE party has presented proposals that involve greater state control over strategic sectors and a review of private sector participation. These initiatives have attracted attention in economic circles, in a context of political and social uncertainty.The plans of Rixi Moncada and the involvement of the governmentRixi Moncada has proposed measures aimed at “refounding” the economic system, with an emphasis on strengthening the role of the state in activities considered strategic. According to her statements, private initiative should conform to a scheme in which the state…

Rixi Moncada's presidential candidacy for the LIBRE party has sparked a national debate after she announced that, if elected, she will eliminate the Credit Information Center as of January 27, 2026. The measure would mean that millions of Hondurans would no longer appear in the credit registry, allowing loans to be granted without traditional control mechanisms.The Credit Bureau as a technical instrumentFinancial specialists highlight that the Credit Bureau holds an essential technical function within the nation's financial system. Contrary to being a "blacklist," it operates as a mechanism to assess the creditworthiness of applicants, protect citizens' savings, and verify that…

LIBRE presidential candidate Rixi Moncada is experiencing a significant decline in voting intentions less than 90 days before the general elections on November 30. After leading the polls in recent weeks, the decline in her support has raised alarms both in her party and in sectors of the opposition, which see a possible realignment in the electoral race.Drop in voter preferencesRecent surveys indicate that Rixi Moncada's advantage has been reduced notably, challenging the early belief that her bid was almost unbeatable. Experts point out that this drop aligns with doubts regarding her economic plans and worries about the nation's political…

LIBRE's presidential candidate Rixi Moncada has brought her economic reform plans and sharp criticism of the oligarchy to the forefront of the nation's political and economic discussions. These views have garnered attention from analysts and industry sectors, who caution about potential negative impacts on investment, employment growth, and the stability of the financial system.Anti-oligarchy rhetoric and investment climateMoncada's remarks criticizing business organizations and economic elites have resulted in an environment of uncertainty for both local and international investors. Sources within the private sector indicate that the ambiguity regarding the candidate's specific policies has caused the suspension of multiple important projects,…

The possibility of Nicolás Maduro's capture and overthrow is shaping up to be an event with direct repercussions for the LIBRE Party, creating a scenario of political and institutional uncertainty in Honduras. The historical and strategic links between the ruling party and the Venezuelan regime could place the party in a vulnerable position vis-à-vis international opinion and local political actors.Connections between LIBRE and ChavismOver the years, multiple experts have indicated the presence of ideological and strategic links between the LIBRE Party and the Maduro administration. These associations range from political alignment to collaboration in realms of strategic interchange, creating a…